April 24, 2024

New Hampshire is up subsequent on January 23.

And Republican political guide Matt Mackowiak says all eyes are on former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.

“She didn’t get the large increase out of Iowa that she needed,” Mackowiak instructed us on Inside Texas Politics. “She’s acquired to most likely win New Hampshire to have a pathway ahead. I feel if that doesn’t occur, you have a look at the remainder of the map, notably the following six weeks, it’s onerous to see a spot the place she goes to win, together with in her house state of South Carolina, the place I feel Trump could be very more likely to win.”

Mackowiak says he doesn’t assume Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has dropped out but as a result of DeSantis wants Haley to get out first.

“So, he’s acquired to see if he can survive lengthy sufficient. Which will simply be a matter of surviving previous Tuesday. Now what we don’t know is what number of Democrats and Independents are going to cross over on this open main contest in New Hampshire and maybe put Nikki excessive,” stated Mackowiak.

Mackowiak says each candidates are attempting to make it previous early states reminiscent of New Hampshire and Nevada to see if they will flip it right into a head-to-head matchup with former President Donald Trump, who did win handily in Iowa. Making it to Tremendous Tuesday on March 5, as an illustration, might result in new, big-dollar donors for both candidate.

President Joe Biden will probably be ready on the GOP nominee come November, and Republicans might face a fundraising problem.

Biden and Democrats raised greater than $97 million within the final three months of 2023. And the President’s re-election conflict chest has round $117 million in money readily available.

“This can be a downside, I feel, rising for the GOP facet is that Biden, I feel, has the biggest conflict chest of any incumbent President at this level. And he’s going to have the ability to increase these assets,” stated Mackowiak.