April 24, 2024

Congress has not been in a position to switch votes to companions prior to now, UP 2017 state elections being an ideal instance.

INDIA bloc’s seat sharing discussions have entered an important section. All eyes are on essential Uttar Pradesh which sends the utmost MPs to Lok Sabha. BJP has been successful large with 20-25 % of its total tally coming from UP and is aiming to enhance its 2019 tally using on the Ram-maya surroundings within the state.

Congress has demanded 20 seats in UP with SP terming it as unreasonable. The grand outdated celebration has weakened significantly during the last three many years in UP, successful only one seat in 2019, and even Rahul Gandhi dropping his household bastion Amethi.

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Rationale for INC’s 20 Seats

The celebration had surprisingly received 21 seats in UP in 2009 which it’s utilizing as a benchmark. By way of energy, SP too, is a pale shadow of its previous with simply 5 MPs in 2019. The SP plus RLD vote share (19.8 %) was thrice that of INC (6.4 %) in 2019, which warrants a 3:1 division of seats.

The Math, SP’s Issues

SP was ranked first and second on 36 seats, RLD three seats and INC 4 seats. By ideas of pure justice these events have a declare on these seats. This leaves 37 seats which BSP contested in 2019 which must be suitably distributed.

Learn | Lok Sabha Election 2024: Congress-AAP deal in limbo over 20 seats in Delhi and Punjab

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Within the 2019 normal elections, Congress spoiled the possibilities of MGB candidates in 10 seats – Badaun, Barabanki, Banda, Basti, Chandauli, Machchli Sahar, Dhaurahra, Meerut, Sant Kabir Nagar and Sultanpur.

SP’s worry is that Congress celebration which doesn’t take pleasure in strike fee like in Bihar (2020), Tamil Nadu (2021), would pull down INDIA bloc’s prospects if it contests on too many seats to fulfill its ego of being a nationwide celebration.

Moreover, Congress has not been in a position to switch votes to companions prior to now, UP 2017 state elections being an ideal instance.

INC’s Rightful Demand

The 2014 elections depict the person energy of events as all of them contested independently. Congress celebration received two, was runner up on six and second runner up on 5 seats, certainly one of which was received by the SP. By this logic it ought to get 12 seats.

Additionally learn | Lok Sabha Polls: Congress, SP to carry second spherical of seat-sharing talks at this time

There are eight seats – Amethi, Kanpur, Rae Bareli, Fatehpur Sikri, Bara Banki, Khushi Nagar, Ghazuabad, Lucknow – the place the celebration was first/second twice within the final three polls. Moreover, there are eight seats which BSP contested in 2019 the place Congress has a good presence. By this logic it will possibly get to contest 16 seats.

The celebration has a rightful declare on 12-16 seats, 20 is a tad excessive. In alliances, give-and-take is the norm. And seat sharing in UP is quick changing into a recreation of who blinks first!

Amitabh Tiwari is a former company and funding banker-turned political strategist and commentator. Twitter: @politicalbaaba. Views are private, and don’t characterize the stance of this publication.